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Friday, 05 December 2008

Rate cut welcome, but a sign of slow economy: Nelson

2/09/2008 5:48:00 PM.  | AAP

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Opposition Leader Brendan Nelson has welcomed the Reserve Bank's interest rate cut but says the reasons behind the decision were anything but positive.

The central bank lowered the cash rate to 7.0 per cent from 7.25 per cent following today's monthly board meeting, having raised the rate 12 times since May 2002.

Dr Nelson took the unusual step yesterday of urging the independent central bank to cut rates by 50 basis points.

Today he was more circumspect about giving the bank advice.

"This is a ray of economic sunshine to be welcomed by all Australians ... it is good news we are getting an interest rate cut."

But he said the reasons for the cut - a slowing economy, rising unemployment and inflationary pressures - were anything but positive.

Asked if he wanted to see further cuts this year, Dr Nelson said: "We respect the decision that's been made by the Reserve Bank and let's just see what happens as a consequence of this one. Let's just have one at a time."

The rate cut was widely expected and is the first since December 2001.

"Weighing up the available domestic and international information, the board judged that there was now scope for monetary policy to become less restrictive," RBA governor Glenn Stevens said.

"The board will continue to assess prospects for demand and inflation over the period ahead, and set monetary policy as needed to bring inflation back to the two to three per cent target over time."

Mr Stevens said indicators of household spending have recorded subdued outcomes over recent months as credit expansion to both households and businesses has slowed.

"Surveys suggest a softening in business activity and growth in production has slowed," he added in a statement accompanying the RBA's rates decision.

"Indicators of capacity utilisation, while still high, are declining and there have also been some signs of an easing in labour market conditions."

However, Australia's rising terms of trade is working in the opposite direction, adding substantially to national income and ability to spend.

Mr Stevens noted that fixed-investment spending by businesses continues to be very strong.

"At the same time, high prices of oil and a range of other commodities have added to global inflationary risks," he said.

"They are also dampening growth in a number of countries.

"Given the opposing forces at work, considerable uncertainty has surrounded the outlook for demand and inflation."

But on balance, it was looking more likely that household demand will remain subdued and overall economic growth slow over the period ahead.

Mr Stevens said inflation was likely to remain relatively high in the short term as the consumer price index (CPI) data is impacted by high global oil prices and rises in raw materials prices in the middle of 2008.

"But looking further ahead, the outlook for demand suggests that inflation in both CPI and underlying terms is likely to decline over time, provided wages growth remains contained," he added.

"The bank's forecast remains that inflation will fall below three per cent during 2010."

Mr Stevens noted also that financial conditions have been "quite tight" and that conditions in international financial markets remain difficult.

However, the tight conditions, along with high fuel costs and lower asset values, had exerted much needed restraint on demand.

COMMENTS

Tuesday, 02 September 2008

Steven's comment makes no sense "The board will continue to assess prospects for demand and inflation over the period ahead, and set monetary policy as needed to bring [down] inflation...", but given that inflation is still "predicted" to get higher, how does reducing interest rates today feed that equation? This all smells terribly "political" to me?

Posted by: Geoff Bolton, Lane Cove

 

Tuesday, 02 September 2008

Prior to last November we had a booming economy and the rise in interst rates was used as a brake to slow the ecomey. However now we have the oposite under the Rudd Swan Gonerment accounding to Mr Stevens. Mr Stevens said indicators of household spending have subdued in recent months households and businesses has slowed. production has slowed and an easing in labour market conditions . Hardly a step in the right direction.

Posted by: Phillip Motbey, Bomaderry

 

Tuesday, 02 September 2008

Gee it's great being rid of that incompetent treasurer Costello and to actually get a government that is intent and capable of lowering Interest Rates. Watch the radical right squirm now, there is nowhere for Costello to hide.

Posted by: Graeme Henderson, Darling Downs

Tuesday, 02 September 2008

...and Henderson, how many unemployed will need to pay for this political move? The budget forecasts on 300K+ increase in unemployment are crap (and you loonies from the left know that). And by the way....WHICH AIRLINE DO YOU FLY WITH...or do you use a horse and cart! Its interesting (like Rudd) YOU never answer a direct question?

Posted by: Geoff Bolton, Lane Cove

Tuesday, 02 September 2008

Henderson, tell us why Swan is a better Treasurer than Costello. Specifics only please....leave your rhetoric in the cow shed!

Posted by: Geoff Bolton, Lane Cove

 

Tuesday, 02 September 2008

I notice rudd has to read this response!!! he has to read a response to a dorathy dixer!!! how embarrasing!! I can't believe we have this man as PM

Posted by: Tiger O, Chermside

 

Tuesday, 02 September 2008

Bolton, go ask anyone with a mortgage who got screwed by the high interest rate policy of Costello. Now you hypocrites were trying to blame Costello's interest rate increases onto Labor and condemning Labor for the interest rate increases. Note, you were only fooling yourselves. Now that interest rates have stabilized you want to say that is a problem. You lot are simply trying to spin everything to suit your own Greedisgoodite perspective. You own postings show you to be nothing but liars.

Posted by: Graeme Henderson, Darling Downs

Tuesday, 02 September 2008

Henderson, answer the SIMPLE question... tell us why Swan is a better Treasurer than Costello. Specifics only please....leave your rhetoric in the cow shed! The problem is THAT YOU CAN'T - WHICH IS WHY YOU RANT ON WITH ENDLESS IRRELEVANCIES! We're all waiting to hear SPECIFICALLY why YOU think Swan is a better Treasurer than Costello???????

Posted by: Geoff Bolton, Lane Cove

 

Tuesday, 02 September 2008

This only shows that the rates were lifted too high on the absymal performance of Rudd. Rudd wanted them high so as to blame the previous government. We all suffer so Rudd can bleat.

Posted by: Happy Fun Ball, Carramar/Sydney

 

Tuesday, 02 September 2008

Love the irrational and unbalanced opinion and repetative dribble of those who believe anything and everything they post to be the truth, absolute...therefore anyone who has a differing view become "liars". Your inability to accept everyones right to their opinion is nothing but obnoxious arrogance. 'But on balance, it was looking more likely that household demand will remain subdued and overall economic growth slow over the period ahead.' Rate cut = economy stalling. Keep lying to yourself.

Posted by: susan lawe, gippsland

 

Tuesday, 02 September 2008

ah its good to see, first one now, and another before xmas. makes everyone happy they voted labor. none of this liberal garbage we put up with the past decade. was all lies, scare tactics and more lies. i was screwed by costello through the fact housing prices went through the roof and he did nothing about it. high interest rates inflicted pain, and we all needed a break. i knew rates would come down because costello was gone. dont come back.

Posted by: wayne kerrs, sydney

 

Tuesday, 02 September 2008

Wayne are you related to Graeme ? LOL...You were "screwed" by Costello . WOW...you commented just in time to backup Graeme's opinion. What was the interest rate Costello screwed you with Wayne, 8% ? maybe 6.5 % ?? I was "screwed" by Keatings 18% , many wish they had been 'screwed' by the Coalition, they may still have their homes and small business's today.

Posted by: susan lawe, gippsland

Wednesday, 03 September 2008

houding prices went up four fold when costello and howard ran the show. they both did nothing about it. they sat back and watched more homeless, escalating personal debt, woolworths and coles stripped money from our pockets, whilst buying up fuel stations and then ripping us off again, and they did absolutely nothing. costello ran the country on the back of a mining boom and put no thought into what was goling to happen after the boom ended. why do you think he left, no heart.

Posted by: wayne kerrs, sydney

 

Tuesday, 02 September 2008

How boringly predictable. Interest rates fall, because the economy is slowing, the economy is slowing because the US banks got too greedy with their mortages and their increasingly clever derivatives, and the whole lot collapsed. Left and right attempt to score political points of each other either claiming credit or laying blame. To all those determined to praise Costello, please advise just what he did that was so wonderful, apart from ride the minerals boom without using it to build

Posted by: Mick S, Central Coast

Wednesday, 03 September 2008

Mick S: Costello paid off $96 Billion of Government debt! He did this by selling $400 Billion of Australia's assets and using that to pay off the debt!He used the left over $304 Billion to ?????????????????? I'm not sure what he used it for?

Posted by: Paul Keating, Dapto

Wednesday, 03 September 2008

Mr Bolton:It seems that the Libs are on a JIHAD to talk down the great Australian Economy to score some Political points!Every day they are talking it down VERY irresponsible of them.Also in Question time the Libs take up too much time with their Points of Order,Bishop is one of the main culprits as is Hockey (I like him).I can understand why Costello,Downer and Co are leaving as they have experienced being in Opposition before and it's not a great place to be.

Posted by: Paul Keating, Dapto

Wednesday, 03 September 2008

Dapto, don't verbal the Opposition. They welcomed the rate cut and said so. Swan "talked down" the economy when they came in and in April (see my detailed entries elsewhere). The opposition are not "talking down the economy" they are stating facts (something prissy Rudd can't handle)

Posted by: Geoff Bolton, Lane Cove

Wednesday, 03 September 2008

Mr Bolton:I get it ! It's okay for the Opposition to talk down the Economy every day using Facts,But it's not okay for the Government to talk down the Economy with Facts Once or Twice!! How silly of me not to have understood.

Posted by: Paul Keating, Dapto

Wednesday, 03 September 2008

Keating (verballing again). Swan "talked down" from Day 1. The Opposition didn't. How stupid are you. In recent months the result of Swan's foolishness has become apparent (plumetting business and consumer confidence etc). Its not possible to be anything other than pessimestic with what we have now. GET IT!

Posted by: Geoff Bolton, Lane Cove

Wednesday, 03 September 2008

Mr Bolton.Really i do get it.This is what Swan has done:Global Credit crisis:Rising Inflation:Rising Interest Rates:Falling Global Business and Consumer Confidence:Europe falling into Recession:High Rents:No Infrastructure Spending:Capacity constraints:He did all this in 9 Months by his little lonesome self? Me thinks he might have had a little help along the way LOL.

Posted by: Paul Keating, Dapto

Wednesday, 03 September 2008

Again Dapto, condemned by your own words. NOTHING in you rant gives any reference to ANYTHINBG that Swan could have and should have done. Accept the fact Dapto, SWAN HAS SCREWED UP BIG TIME. Watch him get hung drawn and quartered at 2.00pm today and WATCH RUDD LET HIM DROWN.

Posted by: Geoff Bolton, Lane Cove

Wednesday, 03 September 2008

Mr Bolton:I will be watching Question time i love it.Bishop jumps up and asks Gillard to hit me-Hockey jumps up and says that was below the belt-Gillard jumps up and says hit me again-Hockey jumps up and gets sin binned-Plan C Turbull jumps up and asks Swan to belt him-Plan C looks for assistance from plan B Costello but he's not there-PlanC receives the knockout via rate cut-Plan A jumps up and asks to get belted by Rudd-Bishop jumps up but Plan B & C decline to help.I love it.

Posted by: Paul Keating, Dapto

Wednesday, 03 September 2008

Dapto, in your usual cyclops view of life, you missed Rudd "prosecuting his dictum" ad nauseum! (Unfortunately, I can't watch Q Time today - I have a small business to try and keep alive)

Posted by: Geoff Bolton, Lane Cove

 

Tuesday, 02 September 2008

Wow. The party bias here is extraordinary. They have you eating out of their hands. Left and Right. Truth is, Liberal and Labor governments are both slaves to the cycles of the economy. Sometimes its good, sometimes its bad. The government can only do so much. Sure the rates are lower, but then..the house prices are extraordinary. House prices are a force of the economy, not government. The economy is a beast unto itself.

Posted by: Brian Henderson, The way it is

Wednesday, 03 September 2008

Henderson B. What a stupid fencesitter you are. You'd go well with Rudd's team of do nothing, change nothing and blame everyone else. Maybe you are another fencepost turtle?

Posted by: Gareth Benson, Blacktown

 

Tuesday, 02 September 2008

Nelson has got it right - the rate cut is a consequence of a slower economy. I hope Australians don't get a wrong impression that they are now at liberty to start spending spree again. After all we no longer have a government like Howard & Costello who can provide us wealth to weather the storm. Instead we have a coward, incompetent, spinning, rhetorical government who doesn't have a clue how to run an economy except by "watching", "committee", "summit", "bashing & threathen banks to cut rate".

Posted by: W O, Turramurra

Wednesday, 03 September 2008

WO:"After all we no longer have a government like Howard & Costello who can provide us wealth to weather the storm".Please explain how they can and did provide us with wealth? Looking forward to your reply.

Posted by: Paul Keating, Dapto

Wednesday, 03 September 2008

Low unemployment rate, low interest & inflation rate. Average Australian networth & income increased. Anyone who wants a job can have a job. Anyway, the list goes on but obviously moronic geriatric labor voters who begged from the govt for money (from my tax) will not feel it. After all they are not working so will not appreciate the bountiful opportunities that used to be out there to create wealth.

Posted by: W O, Turramurra

Wednesday, 03 September 2008

WO:Okay lets go through them:Employment-Business employ people and fire people NOT Howard-they employ more people if they are busy (Golobal economic boom helps) Interest Rates Set by RBA NOT Howard.Inflation to a large extent due to Government Policies and Infrastructure YES Howard can claim credit for Rising Inflation.Average Australian networth & income increased,Yes they have increased but much more at the TOP End,You forgot National Foreign debt;Now that has increased greatly which means we

Posted by: Paul Keating, Dapto

 

Tuesday, 02 September 2008

Have to agree Brian...all those who have borrowed up to their eyeballs havn't helped either...we all need a home, hence home loans, .but personal credit cards maxed to the hilt seems to be a sign of the times that hasnt helped. Every generation has its hardships, and every politician has had their spin...the little people just have to work out which ones are working for them, and which ones are working against them...thats life.

Posted by: susan lawe, gippsland

 

Wednesday, 03 September 2008

Rudd and Co. beat their chests and celebrate the reserve lowering interest. However, if the Central Bank sees fit to LOWER interest while inflation is still RISING, this can only indicate that the economy is experiencing close to catastrophic contraction, particularly in confidence. This has everything to do with what the NEW government has said and done in the last 9 months. With their rhetoric of gloom, and "scary" promises of massive new taxes (ETS) they crashed the economy. Simple.

Posted by: Jo Stalin, Sydney

 

Wednesday, 03 September 2008

Rudd has a (huge) problem. The $A is in decline = increase in cost of imports = increased inflation. Reduced interest rate = further decline in $A. Rudd now has the (enormous) problem of (1) feeding inflation and (2)0 talking rates down further. This all means INSTABILITY. In an apolitical sense...AUSTRALIA has a huge problem. Cause = Rudd put the brakes on too hard for too long. The last RBA rate increase only a few months ago was WRONG. Why has it changed so soon?

Posted by: Geoff Bolton, Lane Cove

 

Wednesday, 03 September 2008

Goof Bolton. Swan is a better Treasurer than Runawaycrybaby Costello because in less than a year Swan has managed to orchestrate an interest rate reduction. Costello is out of the race anyway because he completely mismanaged the economy hiding his inflationary policies behind cheap imports from China and India. Costello failed to capitalize n the resources boom by making the economy more sustainable, instead he used it to make the rich richer, I can't recall him doing anything intelligent.

Posted by: Graeme Henderson, Darling Downs

Wednesday, 03 September 2008

Henderson, in less than a year Swan has orchestrated unecessary interest rate increases JUST SO THAT THEY CAN (1) rubbish their predecessors and (2) claim credit for the reduction that would not have been necessary had Swan not encouraged the increase only weeks ago!!!!! BUT IF THAT'S YOUR ONLY CLAIM TO (SWAN) FAME, I consider my point exceptionally well made.

Posted by: Geoff (I don't call people names!) Bolton, Lane Cove

 

Wednesday, 03 September 2008

Goofy Bolton. All you have is your baseless statements, which are plainly dishonest. You seem to forget that we can all see the records of what you have said in the past. You also seem to think that your word on matters completely obliterates the evidence to the contrary that we can all see. You claim that Swan and Rudd put the interest rates up is so stupid it's childish, it will only be believed by the most committed Lib supporters, those who can always be foold.

Posted by: Graeme Henderson, Darling Downs

Wednesday, 03 September 2008

Childish namecaller Henderson "verbals" me again. I didn't say that Rudd & Swan "put up interest rates". Read again Henderson you dopey old fool (and that's not name calling ... ITS A FACT!). I said "orchestrated" - go check a dictionary, it means "created the circumstances" = "talked the economy down" and "egged the RBA on"

Posted by: geoff bolton, lane cove

 

Wednesday, 03 September 2008

Geoff (I don't call people names!) Bolton, Lane Cove. Henderson you dopey old fool. You are just another lying Liberal supporter, are you hoping to be Nelsons replacement, you are dishonest, corrupt and silly enough.