Macquarie Network ::: 2GB | 2CH | LIVENEWS | STREET CORNER | RUGBYLEAGUELIVE | WHAT CAREER | AMAZING AUSTRALIANS :::
Friday, 09 January 2009

Where's that inflation genie?

3/12/2008 1:00:00 PM.  | Alan Jones

RELATED ARTICLES

LATEST FEATURES

Just in relation to interest rates being where they are, there was an excellent editorial recently in The Australian newspaper.

It made the point that the sightings of Wayne Swan's inflation genie have been few and far between.

And it said until the economic crisis began to bite in the second half of the year, that supernatural creature the inflation genie was one of the most overworked metaphors in Australian politics.

Shorthand for rising food and petrol prices, which the Treasurer blamed on the previous Government's profligacy.

As it said, now, like the Grocery Choice and Fuel Watch websites that were supposed to tame it, the genie slipped quietly from the Treasurer's rhetoric.

"It's reasonable to ask if the Government's consuming focus on inflation and the Reserve Bank's efforts to fight it by raising interest rates may have taken attention away from the gathering international financial crisis and its recessionary impact on Australia.”

The Australian alludes to its own editorial back in March, "If the risk of recession is raised because the Government has talked up inflationary expectations for political gain while the RBA has aggressively tightened monetary policy against a backdrop of the US financial market meltdown, Kevin Rudd will not get away with blaming John Howard for the problem".

Now that of course is shorthand for saying, did the raising of interest rates earlier in the year for simply political, not economic, purposes, did the raising of interest rates make our problems today worse than they need be.

"It will be seen as an own goal by an inexperienced Treasurer, a gung-ho RBA Governor and a Prime Minister who showed so little interest in the economy that he went missing overseas at the crucial phase of forming Labor's first budget.

"With hindsight it's clear the brakes were being hit too hard," as I might add on this programme we were saying trenchantly at the time.

The editorial gives credit to Malcolm Turnbull, who made the point at the National Press Club at the end of last month that the economic storm clouds were visible at the end of last year.

Governments and central banks around the world were loosening monetary and fiscal policy as Australia was tightening.

There were further issues raised in the editorial which sum up some of the points that we've been making on this programme.

Mr Swan boasted about the budget that he brought down in May being carefully designed to fight inflation.

But as the editorial says, Mr Swan's neutral budget failed to anticipate the magnitude of the gathering crisis.

The Australian had urged him to prepare for falling revenue from the mining sector by trimming middle class welfare to reduce recurrent expenditure.

It would have been a prudent move.

It further says, "With the collapse of Lehman Brothers in September the irrelevance of the war on inflation became apparent.

“The Government's decision to put an unlimited guarantee on deposits in banks, building societies and credit unions was decisive, but its consequences were dire.

"It created a run on unguaranteed mortgage funds and cash management trusts that has been stemmed, but not solved, by freezing accounts".

I might point out those accounts are still frozen today.

Malcolm Turnbull said at the National Press Club at the end of last month that Mr Rudd was the only national leader whose policies had made the situation worse.

The editorial said, "Since assuming leadership of the party, Mr Turnbull has shown himself to be a prescient critic of the Government, who's been ahead of the game on economic matters such as the retail deposit guarantee and the wholesale funding guarantee".

Even at the end of last month Wayne Swan was announcing "We don't believe it's necessary in the current circumstances to borrow to invest in the strength of the Australian economy.

"If the budget's forced into deficit, Mr Swan will be hoist on his own petard".

All of which suggests, with a further reduction in interest rates yesterday, that the Government's management of the economy has been all over the place.

The worst feature of it though is the extent to which we've talked down the Australian economy, at a time when 95 per cent of Australians have jobs, interest rates are the lowest they've been in seven years and the banks are stable.

Mr Rudd should be telling the nation to get on with the business of doing business.

If you work hard enough you'll win.

Why we have a preference for doom and gloom, I've got no idea.

COMMENTS

Wednesday, 03 December 2008

No Alan, the real question should be, why does the popular MEDIA have a preference for doom and gloom?

Posted by: Ardent 1, Perth

 

Wednesday, 03 December 2008

Poor ole Jonesy still locked into supporting a now totally discredited Howard Govt.He asks where is the inflation genie.Well old fella 12 successive int rates rises have finally worked and a massive drop in oil prices has put the cream on top.If Jones had a clue and he doesn't he should know oil prices had been a major driver of inflation .Not surprisingly the sudden oil price drop will work very quickly to reduce inflation.Together with the red in commodity prices inflation will cont to fall

Posted by: Lance Freestone,

Wednesday, 03 December 2008

Interesting Keystone. So your thesis is that inflation was caused by interest rises, hmmm, or is it that it was caused by rising petrol prices? Hmmmmm. Is any of this actually relevant to Alan Jones' article which basically advocates (in my opinion correctly) that the whole inflation thing was a giant FURFY, and the government talking down the economy to gain political credibility was an act of bastardry for which we are now all paying. You're a f--ing genius mate, you should be in Canberra.

Posted by: Jo Stalin, Sydney

Wednesday, 03 December 2008

Bolts (there are many of you) why dont you post your gibber under one moniker.It shows what a gutless piece of crap you are.Nowhere in my comment did I suggest inflation was caused by int rate rises you fool.I said that int rate rises had helped put the genie in the bottle.If you cant post under one moniker why dont you f.... off you week kneed dog.

Posted by: Lance Freestone,

 

Wednesday, 03 December 2008

It's not the MEDIA writing the speeches for the fools in government.

Posted by: Tom Jones, Manly

 

Wednesday, 03 December 2008

Doh! Alan, The Inflation Genie is back in it's bottle where it belongs, honestly I am surprised that you even had to ask.

Posted by: Graeme Henderson, Darling Downs

 

Wednesday, 03 December 2008

Simple - inflation genie disappeared because the economy has been screwed. Now Rudd & Co not only put downward pressure on interest rate, inflation, etc. He also has put downward pressure on employment, GDP growth, job vacancies, business investment, household networth and spending.....This government is amazingly stupid.

Posted by: W O, Turramurra

 

Thursday, 04 December 2008

Alan is right about something. Rudd/Swan keep talking down the state of our economy, however, unlike the rest of the world, we have a stable financial sector,a government free of debt (at a federal level) and the ability to keep growing at a reasonable (but slower, nonetheless) rate. If we go into a recession, it is because the government has sapped away all confidence from business, not because of any underlying problems ... the recession that Rudd caused.

Posted by: Daniel Aquilina, Camden

 

Thursday, 04 December 2008

Something for the know all guv luvers above. The baltic shipping firms( read super tanker owners) have dropped contracts with shipping yards to build big tubs. The Industry has scrapped more ships 1 mnths ago than in the whole of the last 2 years. the rent rate has gone from 240k/day to as low as 2k a day. When they stop running due to lack of profit, where do we stand? Can your luv dolls fix it? Where does our economy stand when we cant trade?Look about you, theres hardship coming.

Posted by: Nick Again, Maryborough

 
 

YOUR SAY




 


 

500 characters maximum. 500 characters left.


 

* Required field

 
LiveNews now available on mobile devices

YOUR SAY

You can beat it Patrick, keep hoping & praying we all love you.... Judy Kennedy, Central Coast on 'I've been through hell': Patrick Swayze on acting with cancer

I would recomend that Israel finishes the job they've started once and for all. Do not finish untill all Hamas terorists are dead and then... Poison Pen, Sydney on Israel fires on targets in Lebanon

I feel this problem goes back to the Whitlam years when kids started getting money to stay at home and have kids, its easier than... Sue Quinn, Bargo on Rosemeadow families lash out at media after court

This has some great information about epilepsy and the myths surrounding it http://www.epilepsy.org.au/fact_sheets/About%20Epilepsy/SS_FactSheets_Exploding_myths_about_epilepsy.pdf. Please take the time to read this, it is important for... Jessica Rabbit, Sydney on Church of Scientology hits back at Jett Travolta drug claims

HI chris I would like to invite you to any family who own a bullmastiff or 2 and have young children For you to denegrade the... Nellie Abela, Bargo on Bullmastiffs must be banned